Thursday 24 June 2010

THE PRESIDENT AND THE GENERAL

Was it really such a good idea for President Obama to sack General Stanley McChrystal, the architect and implementer of the U.S.A.'s (and NATO's) plan to pacify Afghanistan? I am not sure that it was. True, it was unfortunate - to put it mildly - that the general and his subordinate officers said a whole lot of disparaging things about the President (and other senior politicians), while an embedded journalist from Rolling Stone magazine was in hearing. But underlings are always saying disparaging things about their superiors, whether it be in a company, another organisation, the Army, a family, or even the country. Having millions of people not only think that you are a complete jerk, but saying and writing it every day under the protection of the Constitution, goes with occupation of the Oval Office.

I accept that in America the position is complicated by the fact that the Head of the Executive Branch - unusually amongst democracies - is also formally Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces. This can create problems in time of war, since, with notable exceptions such as Eisenhower and Grant, Presidents tend not to have much, or even any, military experience. Soldiers, more than anyone, are supposed to be loyal to the chain of command. That must be tough if you think that the politicians don't know much, and are far away from getting hurt.

General McChrystal is by all accounts a first rate soldier. So is his replacement, General David Petraeus, the man who led the coalition forces in Iraq, was the architect of the "surge" there, and ended up as General McChrystal's immediate superior. As such, he will obviously know all about the military plans for the country. But he won't have - or, at least, not for some time - General McChrystal's political contacts and personal relations in Afghanistan, built up over the past year while in post. He may also have to deal with possible personnel difficulties, if subordinates think that General McChrystal has got a raw deal.

To my mind, the whole episode smacks of President Obama's trying to show, a little bit too hard, that he is in charge. He has got problems at the moment; an oil well in Louisiana remains uncapped, Afghanistan is not going well, and his approval ratings are sliding. However, it is not a general's criticism that is losing him approval, but what Harold MacMillan, a former British Prime Minister, is supposed to have said, namely "events, dear boy, events". For my part, I would have hauled General McChrystal over the coals, and told the world's press, with the general standing beside him, "I kicked his ass, told him not to speak to journalists, and ordered him to get on with prosecuting the war". Sometimes, less can be more.

Walter Blotscher

5 comments:

  1. I thought it was Harold Wilson who made the comment about events. MacMillan did you have never had it do good. And Mandy Rice Davis?

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  2. Hi Michael,

    Harold Wilson was "a week is a long time in politics", and "the white heat of the technological revolution" (or something like that). MacMillan was the events quote, plus "never had it so good" and "wind of change" blowing through Africa. Plus other good stuff.

    Mandy Rice-Davies' "he would say that, wouldn't he?" was to the judge in the trial.

    Regards,

    Walter

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  3. I always thought I had heard Wilson saying it but a brief search of the net only gets a week is a long time in politics.

    Do you think this Afghan war is worth prosecuting?

    My pen pal got out of jail today after twelve years mostly in US prisons. She is very pleased to out and about again.

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  4. Hi Michael,

    No, I am not in favour of the war in Afghanistan.

    In the First Afghan War of 1839-42, the British Army was forced to retreat from Kabul to Jalalabad in January 1842 after unrest in the capital. 4,500 soldiers and 12,000 "camp followers" including wives and children, set out in mid-winter. Only one man, a surgeon, reached Jalalabad alive (though a handful were captured en route and subsequently released). There is a famous painting of him riding up to the city gates on his horse; it is called Remnants of an Army.

    You would think that we had learned from that. The Russians had a good go in the 1970's, and couldn't rule the country; and they were the neighbours. How the hell can we do it from the other side of the world?

    What is interesting, I think, are the parallels between the West's justification for intervening today and the Simla Manifesto, which was the basis for intervention in 1838. In order to defend the welfare of India, it was (supposedly) necessary to keep Afghanistan peaceful. We also denied that we were invading, we were merely supporting the legitimate Government against destabilising interference. Recognise some of the themes?

    The First Afghan War was subsequently seen by historians as a power grab to keep out the Russians, part of the "Great Game" of Central Asia. I suspect that history will see the current escapade as somewhat similar; just change Russians to Islamists and Great Game to War on Terror.

    Regards,

    Walter

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  5. I agree entirely with that comment. It seems to be a common view in England as well, though with less historical back ground but it is not a view I ever see expressed in the media.

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